College football and basketball, men's and women's, explained with real data: advanced ratings built from scratch, the playoff and portal quantified, and a hype-free look at NIL and revenue sharing for the athletes living it.
Two seasons of 12-team College Football Playoff results, scored: seed performance, byes, blowouts, and what the bracket really rewards.
Red-zone defense is its own skill: holding offenses to field goals, the field-shrinks dynamic, pressure and turnovers near the goal line, and why TD% allowed and points-per-trip beat scoring percentage.
Go, punt, or kick on fourth down — by field position and distance. The win-probability framing, why analytics pushes toward going for it, and how coaching aggressiveness actually varies.
Sack rate allowed versus created, why pressure and sacks aren't the same thing, how much credit belongs to the line, the quarterback, and the scheme, and what adjusted sack rate fixes.
Red-zone scoring percentage flatters teams that settle for field goals. Why touchdown rate and points per trip tell the truth, and how to measure red-zone offense honestly.
Third-down conversion rate is a headline efficiency stat — but third-and-1 and third-and-12 are different games. How distance-to-go ties it to success rate and passing downs.
The exact NCAA passer rating formula, worked term by term, how it differs from the NFL's capped rating, and the real limitations of a single quarterback number.